Shotgun Probabilities

Base Probabilities	Bonus Probabilities	One's Re-roll Base	One's Re-roll Bonus	Mandy Base Probabilities	Mandy Bonus Probabilities	Mandy One's Re-roll Base	Mandy One's Re-roll Bonus
Shotgun Probabilities	Shotgun Grapple	Shotgun Wrestle	Shotgun Grapple Wrestle	Mandy Shotgun Probabilities	Mandy Shotgun Grapple	Mandy Shotgun Wrestle	Mandy Shotgun Grapple Wrestle
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Shotgun Probabilities

min # successes		1 die	2 dice	3 dice	4 dice	5 dice	6 dice	7 dice	8 dice	9 dice	10 dice
1	Normal	33% (56%)	56% (80%)	70% (91%)	80% (96%)	87% (98%)	91% (99%)	94% (100%)	96% (100%)	97% (100%)	98% (100%)
	Blessed	50% (75%)	75% (94%)	88% (98%)	94% (100%)	97% (100%)	98% (100%)	99% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Cursed	17% (31%)	31% (52%)	42% (67%)	52% (77%)	60% (84%)	67% (89%)	72% (92%)	77% (95%)	81% (96%)	84% (97%)
2	Normal	17% (31%)	33% (56%)	48% (73%)	60% (84%)	70% (91%)	78% (95%)	84% (97%)	88% (99%)	92% (99%)	94% (100%)
	Blessed	17% (31%)	42% (66%)	63% (86%)	77% (95%)	86% (98%)	92% (99%)	96% (100%)	98% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)
	Cursed	17% (31%)	31% (52%)	42% (67%)	52% (77%)	60% (84%)	67% (89%)	72% (92%)	77% (95%)	81% (96%)	84% (97%)
3	Normal	0% (0%)	8% (16%)	20% (37%)	33% (56%)	46% (70%)	57% (81%)	66% (88%)	74% (93%)	80% (96%)	85% (98%)
	Blessed	0% (0%)	14% (26%)	33% (56%)	52% (77%)	67% (89%)	79% (95%)	86% (98%)	92% (99%)	95% (100%)	97% (100%)
	Cursed	0% (0%)	3% (5%)	7% (14%)	13% (25%)	20% (35%)	26% (46%)	33% (55%)	40% (63%)	46% (71%)	52% (77%)
4	Normal	0% (0%)	3% (5%)	9% (17%)	17% (32%)	27% (47%)	37% (61%)	47% (72%)	57% (81%)	65% (88%)	72% (92%)
	Blessed	0% (0%)	3% (5%)	13% (24%)	28% (48%)	44% (69%)	59% (83%)	71% (92%)	80% (96%)	87% (98%)	92% (99%)
	Cursed	0% (0%)	3% (5%)	7% (14%)	13% (25%)	20% (35%)	26% (46%)	33% (55%)	40% (63%)	46% (71%)	52% (77%)
5	Normal	0% (0%)	0% (0%)	2% (4%)	6% (12%)	13% (23%)	20% (37%)	29% (50%)	38% (62%)	47% (72%)	56% (80%)
	Blessed	0% (0%)	0% (0%)	3% (6%)	11% (22%)	24% (42%)	38% (61%)	52% (77%)	64% (87%)	74% (93%)	82% (97%)
	Cursed	0% (0%)	0% (0%)	0% (1%)	2% (3%)	4% (7%)	6% (12%)	10% (18%)	13% (25%)	18% (32%)	22% (40%)
min # successes		11 dice	12 dice	13 dice	14 dice	15 dice	16 dice	17 dice	18 dice	19 dice	20 dice
1	Normal	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Blessed	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Cursed	87% (98%)	89% (99%)	91% (99%)	92% (99%)	94% (100%)	95% (100%)	95% (100%)	96% (100%)	97% (100%)	97% (100%)
2	Normal	96% (100%)	97% (100%)	98% (100%)	98% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Blessed	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Cursed	87% (98%)	89% (99%)	91% (99%)	92% (99%)	94% (100%)	95% (100%)	95% (100%)	96% (100%)	97% (100%)	97% (100%)
3	Normal	89% (99%)	91% (99%)	94% (100%)	95% (100%)	97% (100%)	97% (100%)	98% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)
	Blessed	98% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Cursed	57% (81%)	62% (85%)	66% (89%)	70% (91%)	74% (93%)	77% (95%)	80% (96%)	83% (97%)	85% (98%)	87% (98%)
4	Normal	78% (95%)	82% (97%)	86% (98%)	89% (99%)	92% (99%)	94% (100%)	95% (100%)	97% (100%)	97% (100%)	98% (100%)
	Blessed	95% (100%)	97% (100%)	98% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Cursed	57% (81%)	62% (85%)	66% (89%)	70% (91%)	74% (93%)	77% (95%)	80% (96%)	83% (97%)	85% (98%)	87% (98%)
5	Normal	63% (86%)	70% (91%)	76% (94%)	80% (96%)	84% (98%)	88% (98%)	90% (99%)	92% (99%)	94% (100%)	96% (100%)
	Blessed	88% (98%)	92% (99%)	95% (100%)	97% (100%)	98% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	99% (100%)	100% (100%)	100% (100%)
	Cursed	27% (47%)	32% (54%)	37% (61%)	42% (66%)	47% (72%)	51% (76%)	56% (80%)	60% (84%)	64% (87%)	67% (89%)
Notes: All values are rounded to their nearest %. Values in parentheses are odds for success with a roll + re-roll (e.g., Bravery, Marksman, Foresee, etc.).